Paper 2 · Data response

Markscheme 评分方案

按等级描述评分 · 满分 40 分
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What this is, and what it is not 说明

This is a teaching markscheme written for the practice paper on this site. It follows the familiar level-descriptor shape so it is usable in a classroom, but the descriptors are my own wording, not the examining board's. Official markschemes are copyright and are not reproduced here.

本评分方案为本站练习卷自编,采用常见的等级描述格式, 但描述语为自行撰写,非考试局原文。正式评分方案受版权保护,此处不予转载。

Align it with the current subject guide before using it for anything that counts.

(a) (i)[2] Define the term quota (Text B, paragraph 1). 定义“配额”
LevelDescriptorMarks
0The work does not meet a standard described below.0
1Vague definition.
The idea that it is a limit on quantity.
含糊的定义:数量上的限制。
1
2Accurate definition.
An understanding that it is a government-imposed limit on the quantity that may be supplied or issued, AND one of:
  • it restricts quantity directly, rather than acting through price
  • it holds quantity below the free-market level
准确的定义:由政府设定的数量上限,并须包含以上任一要点。
2
(a) (ii)[2] Define the term economies of scale (Text A, paragraph 1). 定义“规模经济”
LevelDescriptorMarks
0The work does not meet a standard described below.0
1Vague definition.
The idea that costs fall as output rises.
含糊的定义:产量增加时成本下降。
1
2Accurate definition.
An understanding that it is a fall in long-run average cost as the scale of output increases, AND one of:
  • arising from an increase in the size or output of the firm
  • distinguishing average cost from total cost
准确的定义:产量规模扩大时长期平均成本下降,并须包含以上任一要点。
2

Reward "average cost per unit" as equivalent to average cost. Do not reward a response that only says "costs fall" without reference to output or scale — that is Level 1.

(b) (i)[2] Using Table 2, calculate the average value per electric vehicle exported in 2019 and in 2025. 计算每辆出口电动汽车的平均价值
2019: USD 5.5 bn ÷ 220 000 = USD 25 000 [1]
2025: USD 45.6 bn ÷ 1 900 000 = USD 24 000 [1]
Marking notes 评分说明
  • An answer of 25 000 or 24 000 without working or units is sufficient for [1] each.
  • A maximum of [1] may be awarded for correct working if the answers are not given.
  • Accept answers in USD or with the unit omitted. Do not penalise the same rounding twice.
(b) (ii)[3] Sketch a business cycle diagram and indicate a period of expansion and a period of contraction. 绘制经济周期图
LevelDescriptorMarks
0The work does not meet a standard described below.0
1For sketching a business cycle diagram where expansion and contraction are not shown or are incorrectly identified. OR for a correctly labelled diagram indicating expansion or contraction, but with some labels missing or incorrect.1
2For indicating both periods but with some labels missing or incorrect. OR for a correctly labelled diagram indicating expansion or contraction.2
3For a correctly labelled business cycle diagram indicating a period of expansion AND a period of contraction.3
Expected diagram 预期图形

A wave fluctuating around a rising trend line. Horizontal axis: time (or years). Vertical axis: real GDP (or output, real income, economic activity).

If the vertical axis is labelled, the curve itself need not be; and vice versa. A title is not required. Abbreviations are acceptable. Accept "boom/recovery" for expansion and "recession/downturn/slump" for contraction.

(c)[4] Using a demand and supply diagram to indicate the total cost of the subsidy, explain how reducing the per-vehicle subsidy may affect government spending. 补贴与政府支出
LevelDescriptorMarks
0The work does not meet a standard described below.0
1There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response.1–2
2There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response.3–4
Expected diagram

Demand and supply with a second supply curve S(subsidy) below and parallel to S, and an area marked showing the total cost to the government. The area may be shaded, lettered, or referred to in the writing rather than drawn.

Expected explanation

Reducing the subsidy means the government pays less per unit / absorbs less of producers' costs, so total government spending on the scheme falls (Table 3: RMB 32bn → 11bn), freeing funds for other uses. The supply curve shifts back towards S, raising price and lowering quantity.

(d)[4] Using a negative externality of consumption diagram, explain why petrol car use in a large city may result in a welfare loss. 消费的负外部性与福利损失
LevelDescriptorMarks
0The work does not meet a standard described below.0
1There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response.1–2
2There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response.3–4
Expected diagram

MPB above MSB (MSB = MPB − external cost), with MSC = MPC. Market equilibrium at Qmarket where MPB = MPC, social optimum at Qoptimum where MSB = MSC, with Qmarket > Qoptimum and the welfare loss triangle between them identified.

Expected explanation

Driving imposes costs on third parties — congestion for other road users and air pollution for people who do not drive (Text B, paragraph 2). Private drivers consider only their private benefit, so consumption exceeds the socially optimal level. For every unit between the two quantities, MSC exceeds MSB, and the sum of that gap is the welfare loss.

Accept a negative externality of production diagram only if the candidate's explanation is consistent with it throughout. Congestion and local air pollution from driving are most naturally treated as consumption externalities.

(e)[4] Using a tariff diagram, explain the effect of the EU tariff on the quantity of Chinese EVs sold in the EU. 关税的影响
LevelDescriptorMarks
0The work does not meet a standard described below.0
1There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response.1–2
2There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response.3–4
Expected diagram

Domestic demand and supply for the EU market with a horizontal world supply curve Sworld, and Sworld+tariff above it. Price rises from Pw to Pw+t; domestic production rises, domestic consumption falls, and the quantity imported falls — imports shown as the gap between the two.

Expected explanation

The tariff (Table 3: 10% → 35.3%) raises the price of imported Chinese EVs in the EU. Quantity demanded of imports falls, both because total EU consumption falls and because EU producers supply more at the higher price. Text C notes producers may absorb part of the tariff by cutting prices, which limits the fall.

(f)[4] Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how rising foreign demand for Chinese EVs might influence the value of the yuan. 汇率的变动
LevelDescriptorMarks
0The work does not meet a standard described below.0
1There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response.1–2
2There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response.3–4
Expected diagram

Market for CNY. Vertical axis: the exchange rate, price of CNY in terms of another currency (e.g. EUR per CNY). Horizontal axis: quantity of CNY. Demand shifts right from D to D1, raising the equilibrium exchange rate — an appreciation.

Expected explanation

Foreign buyers must obtain yuan to pay for Chinese vehicles (Text C, paragraph 2), so rising export demand increases demand for CNY and the currency appreciates, other things equal.

Accept the axis labelled as the price of CNY in any named foreign currency. Do not require the candidate to reconcile this with Table 3, which shows CNY per EUR rising over the period — that is a movement in the opposite direction and is properly a point for part (g).

(g)[15] Evaluate the likely consequences of government support for the electric vehicle industry on the Chinese economy. 评价政府对电动汽车产业支持的影响
LevelDescriptorMarks
0The work does not reach a standard described below.0
1Little relevant knowledge. Economic terms are absent or used incorrectly. No use of the text or data. No evaluation.1–3
2Some relevant knowledge, but description rather than analysis. Limited use of terminology. Occasional reference to the text or data. Evaluation is asserted rather than argued.4–6
3Relevant knowledge applied to the case. Some analysis, though chains of reasoning are incomplete. Text and data used, but not consistently. Some evaluation, with reasons given.7–9
4Accurate, well-applied knowledge. Clear analysis with developed chains of reasoning. Effective and consistent use of the text and data. Balanced evaluation, though the judgement may be underdeveloped.10–12
5As Level 4, and the evaluation is sustained throughout rather than appended. Assumptions and the limitations of the data are recognised, and the response reaches a reasoned, supported judgement.13–15
Analysis candidates might offer 可能的分析要点
  • Employment and output. Sector employment 1.1m → 3.4m; production 1.2m → 12.4m units (Table 2). Higher AD and a structural shift towards higher-value manufacturing.
  • Export earnings. EV export value USD 5.5bn → 45.6bn, improving the trade balance in goods.
  • Economies of scale. Text A, paragraph 1: scale in battery production lowers long-run average cost, and average domestic prices fell from RMB 232k to 168k — a gain in consumer surplus and in international competitiveness.
  • Externalities. Shifting from petrol to electric reduces the external costs in Text B; PM2.5 in major cities fell 42 → 29 (Table 3).
  • Infant industry argument. Support allowed domestic firms to reach the scale at which they could compete internationally.
Evaluation candidates might offer 可能的评价要点
  • Opportunity cost. RMB 32bn of subsidy is spending forgone elsewhere — health, education, or debt reduction. The fall to RMB 11bn suggests the policy was judged too costly to sustain, or no longer necessary.
  • Efficiency of the support. Text A, paragraph 3: intense competition, thin margins and firms exiting suggest possible overcapacity — resources drawn into an industry beyond the socially optimal level.
  • Retaliation. The EU tariff rose from 10% to 35.3% (Table 3) explicitly because of state support (Text C). Gains from subsidised exports are partly offset by the trade response they provoke, and by the cost of relocating assembly abroad.
  • Distribution. Who benefits? Text B notes the plate auction favours wealthier households; subsidies for new vehicles may be regressive.
  • Causation. The fall in PM2.5 cannot be attributed to EV policy alone — industrial regulation, power generation and weather all matter. Correlation is not causation.
  • Data limitations. Two-year snapshots hide the path between them; the figures are national and conceal regional variation. Real GDP growth also fell from 6.0% to 4.8%, so the sector grew while the wider economy slowed.
  • Short run versus long run. Subsidies that build a globally competitive industry may repay their cost over time even if they look poor value in any single year.

What separates Level 5 from Level 4

Not more points. A Level 4 response argues both sides well and stops. A Level 5 response weighs them — says which consideration matters most and why, states what would have to be true for the opposite conclusion to hold, and notices where the data cannot settle the question. The judgement has to be earned by the analysis above it, not announced in a final sentence.

Key Terms 关键术语

For bilingual classrooms

Quota 配额
Economies of scale 规模经济
Subsidy 补贴
Negative externality 负外部性
Welfare loss 福利损失
Social optimum 社会最优
Tariff 关税
Exchange rate 汇率
Appreciation 升值
Business cycle 经济周期
Expansion 扩张
Contraction / recession 收缩/衰退
Opportunity cost 机会成本
Consumer surplus 消费者剩余
Infant industry 幼稚产业
Overcapacity 产能过剩